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Formula One Overtake Prediction

Two independent projects live in this repository.

era2026/

Active work. Overtake prediction for the Formula One regulation era that began in 2026, built from scratch against in-era data only, with a continual retraining loop as the era unfolds.

Currently in planning: see era2026/PLAN.md.

legacy/

The completed 2022-2025 project (dataset and model versions v1 through v6), a FastAPI backend, a React frontend, and the offline FastF1 pipeline that produced the datasets.

Frozen. Kept as a reference and as a source of comparison numbers. Not extended.

Tagged at legacy-v6. Treat legacy/ as the repository root when running anything inside it, for example cd legacy && docker compose up --build.

Why the split

The 2026 regulations replaced DRS with an energy-based Overtake Mode, introduced active aerodynamics, and changed the power unit to a 50/50 combustion and electric split. The mechanism of overtaking changed, not just the lap times, so the legacy feature set and battle definition do not carry over. era2026/PLAN.md covers the reasoning in full.

About

Data-driven prediction of Formula 1 overtakes using telemetry, ML models, and an interactive web platform.

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