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            <a href="/">Home</a><span aria-hidden="true">›</span><span class="lp-crumb-here">OSINT resources</span>
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          <h1 class="lp-h1 lp-reveal lp-in">
            The field guide.<br /><span class="lp-h1-accent">Terms, methods, no mystique.</span>
          </h1>
          <p class="lp-hero-sub lp-reveal lp-in">
            The vocabulary open-source intelligence work actually uses, and the full
            methodology behind our instability index — including where it can be
            wrong. An informed reader is the point, not the risk.
          </p>
          <div class="lp-hero-ctas lp-reveal lp-in">
            <a class="lp-btn lp-btn-primary lp-btn-lg" href="#glossary">Glossary <span aria-hidden="true">↓</span></a>
            <a class="lp-btn lp-btn-ghost lp-btn-lg" href="#methodology">Index methodology <span aria-hidden="true">↓</span></a>
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      <section class="lp-section" id="glossary" style="padding-top: 50px">
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          <p class="lp-label lp-reveal">Glossary</p>
          <h2 class="lp-h2 lp-reveal">The language of the map.</h2>
          <p class="lp-section-sub lp-reveal">
            Every term below appears somewhere in the dashboard. If you meet a word in
            the app that isn't here, that's a bug — <a href="/contact">let us know</a>.
          </p>
          <dl class="lp-glossary lp-reveal">
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>OSINT</dt><dd>Open-Source Intelligence — analysis built exclusively from publicly available information: news, official releases, transponder data, satellite imagery, public registries.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>ADS-B</dt><dd>The transponder broadcast most aircraft transmit — position, altitude, callsign. What powers the flight and military-air layers.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>AIS</dt><dd>The maritime equivalent of ADS-B: ships broadcasting identity, position and heading. Vessels that go "dark" (stop transmitting) are themselves a signal.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>GEOINT</dt><dd>Geospatial intelligence — anything derived from imagery and location data: satellite photos, nighttime lights, fire detections.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>SIGINT</dt><dd>Signals intelligence — intercepted communications and emissions. EdgePannel carries only its public shadow: jamming reports, GPS interference zones, outage maps.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Chokepoint</dt><dd>A narrow passage global trade can't route around — Hormuz, Suez, Malacca, Bab el-Mandeb. Small disruptions there move global prices.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>CII</dt><dd>Country Instability Index — our 0–100 composite score per country. Full methodology below.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Escalation signal</dt><dd>An event that historically precedes conflict intensification: force posture changes, evacuation orders, airspace closures, sanctioned-asset movement.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Dark vessel</dt><dd>A ship that has switched off its AIS transponder — routine for some navies, a red flag near sanctions routes.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>NOTAM</dt><dd>Notice to Air Missions — official alerts about airspace restrictions. Sudden military NOTAMs over a region are a classic early indicator.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Feed clustering</dt><dd>Grouping many articles about one event into a single story, so 40 headlines about the same strike read as one signal, not 40.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Source tiering</dt><dd>Ranking sources by authority — wire services and official channels above aggregators and blogs — so the loudest source isn't mistaken for the most reliable.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>State-affiliated media</dt><dd>Outlets controlled by or aligned with a government. Carried and labeled — what a state chooses to say is itself intelligence.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>GDACS</dt><dd>The UN/EC Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System — authoritative multi-hazard alerts for quakes, cyclones, floods and volcanoes.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>Kp index</dt><dd>A 0–9 measure of geomagnetic storm strength. High Kp disrupts GPS, HF radio and satellites — infrastructure risk from space.</dd></div>
            <div class="lp-term"><dt>BGP / route leak</dt><dd>The internet's routing protocol, and the class of accident (or attack) where traffic detours through the wrong network. Visible in the outage layers.</dd></div>
          </dl>
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      <section class="lp-section" id="methodology">
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          <p class="lp-label lp-reveal" style="color: #ffb454">Methodology</p>
          <h2 class="lp-h2 lp-reveal">How the instability index is scored.</h2>
          <p class="lp-section-sub lp-reveal">
            The CII is a 0–100 composite recomputed every few minutes server-side and
            cached for ten. This page explains what the score <em>means</em>; the exact
            weights, caps and floors live in the
            <a href="/docs/algorithms/">scoring documentation</a>, which is kept in step
            with the code that computes them.
          </p>

          <div class="lp-reveal">
            <h3 style="font-size: 19px; margin: 34px 0 8px">1 · A structural baseline (40%)</h3>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 0 0 22px">
              Each tier-1 country carries a static baseline reflecting structural risk —
              an active-war country starts high, a stable democracy starts low. The
              baseline anchors the score so a quiet news day doesn't make a war zone
              look like Switzerland.
            </p>

            <h3 style="font-size: 19px; margin: 0 0 8px">2 · Live events (60%)</h3>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 0 0 14px">
              The dynamic part blends five weighted components from geocoded events in
              roughly the last 24–48 hours:
            </p>
            <ul class="lp-weights-legend">
              <li><i style="background: #ff6161"></i>Conflict — battles, explosions, strikes, fatalities</li>
              <li><i style="background: #ffd166"></i>Unrest — protests, riots, major outages</li>
              <li><i style="background: #7aa8ff"></i>Information — news-signal pressure</li>
              <li><i style="background: #c9a0ff"></i>Economic — economic stress signals</li>
              <li><i style="background: #ff7a59"></i>Security — military activity, GPS interference</li>
            </ul>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 14px 0 22px">
              Conflict carries the most weight, security the least. The exact split is
              in the <a href="/docs/algorithms/">scoring documentation</a>.
            </p>

            <h3 style="font-size: 19px; margin: 34px 0 8px">3 · Environmental boosts</h3>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 0 0 22px">
              Capped additive pressure from ongoing hazards — severe climate events,
              cyber activity, shipping disruption and large wildfires each add a bounded
              number of points, so a hurricane can't masquerade as a civil war. The
              per-hazard caps are listed in the
              <a href="/docs/algorithms/">scoring documentation</a>.
            </p>

            <h3 style="font-size: 19px; margin: 0 0 8px">4 · The conflict floor</h3>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 0 0 22px">
              Countries in an active interstate or civil war (per UCDP classification)
              never score below 70; minor armed conflict floors at 50. Whatever the
              day's event count, the score cannot pretend a war away.
            </p>

            <h3 style="font-size: 19px; margin: 0 0 8px">Honest limitations</h3>
            <p style="color: var(--lp-text-dim); font-size: 15px; margin: 0">
              The index reads what has happened; it does not forecast. Coverage bias is
              real — countries with dense reporting generate more events than closed
              ones, which is why the structural baseline exists. Treat the trend and
              the components as the signal, and the single number as the summary.
            </p>
          </div>
        </div>
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          <h2 class="lp-h2 lp-reveal">Theory into practice.</h2>
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            Every term and score above is live on the map right now.
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            <a class="lp-btn lp-btn-primary lp-btn-lg" href="/app">Launch EdgePannel <span aria-hidden="true">→</span></a>
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