diff --git a/ecoinformatica_2014_2015.Rproj b/ecoinformatica_2014_2015.Rproj
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..8e3c2eb
--- /dev/null
+++ b/ecoinformatica_2014_2015.Rproj
@@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
+Version: 1.0
+
+RestoreWorkspace: Default
+SaveWorkspace: Default
+AlwaysSaveHistory: Default
+
+EnableCodeIndexing: Yes
+UseSpacesForTab: Yes
+NumSpacesForTab: 2
+Encoding: UTF-8
+
+RnwWeave: Sweave
+LaTeX: pdfLaTeX
diff --git a/sesion_2/retos/Cuaderno_de_campo_digital.accdb b/sesion_2/retos/Cuaderno_de_campo_digital.accdb
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_f1.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_f1.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_f2.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_f2.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p1.R b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p1.R
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..9c2e697
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p1.R
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
+#Algoritmo que multiplique 5 números introducidos por el usuario.
+
+multiplicacion <- 1 #Creo la variable "multiplicación"
+for (k in 1:5){ #Creo un bucle para multiplicar 5 números que introducira el usuario
+ print ("introduce un numero") #Escribe "introduce un numero" para que el usuario introduzca el número que quiera
+ x <- scan (nmax=1) #Almaceno el valor introducido
+
+ multiplicacion <- multiplicacion * x #Se multiplica el valor introducido con lo acumulado hasta el momento
+}
+print (multiplicacion) #Escribe el resultado de multiplicacion de los cinco numeros introducidos
diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p1.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p1.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p2.R b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p2.R
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..020da0a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p2.R
@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
+#Algoritmo que dado un umbral por el usuario,
+#dados 10 números por el usuario,
+#cuente cuántos de esos números supera el umbral indicado
+
+
+contador <- 0 #Creo la variable "contador"
+print("Introduce un umbral") #Escribe "introduce un umbral" para que el usuario introduzca el valor umbral que desee
+umbral <- scan(nmax=1) #Almaceno el umbral introducido
+for(k in 1:10){ #Creo un bucle para que el usuario introduzca 10 numeros y cuente cuantos de estos numeros superan el umbral previamente introducido
+ print("Introduce un numero")#Escribe "introduce un número" para que el usuario introduzca el numero que quiera
+ x <- scan(nmax=1)#Almaceno el numero introducido
+ if(x > umbral){ #Si el numero introducido es mayor que el valor umbral
+ contador <- contador+1 #Aumenta en una unidad el contador (Cuenta el numero dado)
+ }
+}
+print(paste("Cantidad de numeros que superan el umbral:",contador)) #Mostrar la cantidad de numeros que supero el umbral
diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p2.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p2.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p3.R b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p3.R
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..898d018
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p3.R
@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+#Algoritmo que haga la media de 10 temperaturas indicadas por el usuario
+
+
+suma <-0 #Creo la variable suma
+for(k in 1:10){ #Creo un bucle para que el usuario introduzca 10 valores de temperatura y realice la media de estos valores
+ print("Introduce la temperatura") #Escribe "introduce la temperatura" para que el usuario introduzca el valor de temperatura que quiera
+ temp <-scan(nmax=1) #Almaceno la temperatura introducida
+ suma <- suma + temp #Se suma el valor introducido con el acumulado
+}
+resultado <- suma/k #Creo la variable resultado que es el valor de la suma total entre el numero de temperaturas introducidas (media)
+print(resultado) #Muestro el resultado obtenido
diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p3.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p3.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p4.R b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p4.R
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..9295226
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p4.R
@@ -0,0 +1,28 @@
+#Reto_3_p4:
+#Dado el conjunto de datos ndvi.zip
+#Cada imagen raster se tomó un día, a una hora y minutos concretos
+#Queremos hacer un script que muestre la evolución del NDVI medio para las horas del día
+
+#Cargo las librerias raster y rgdal
+library(raster)
+library(rgdal)
+
+horas <- c(12,13,14,15) #Creo el vector horas donde se almacenaran las horas
+valores <- c() #Creo el vector valores vacio donde se almacenaran los valores de las medias de cada hora
+i <- 1 #Creo un contador para acceder correctamente a la posicion dentro del vector valores donde se deben almacenar las distintas medias para las horas
+
+#Creo un bucle que busque los tres ficheros para cada hora, los "junte" y realice la media de los valores para cada hora, obteniendo un único valor de ndvi para cada hora
+for(h in horas){
+
+ imagenes <- list.files(path="./ndvi", full.names=TRUE, pattern=paste("_", h, "..\\.jpg\\.asc$", sep=""))
+ stack_imagen <- stack(imagenes)
+ media2 <- mean(stack_imagen)
+ media <- cellStats(media2,mean)
+
+ valores[i] <- media #Almaceno en el vector valores, en la posición correspondiente la media para cada hora
+ i <- i+1
+
+ }
+plot(horas, valores) #Muestra la gráfica obtenida
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p4.pdf b/sesion_3/retos/Reto_3_p4.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias de la nieve.png b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias de la nieve.png
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias significativas de la nieve.png b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias significativas de la nieve.png
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias significativas del ndvi.png b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Mapa de tendencias significativas del ndvi.png
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Producto_1.pdf b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/Producto_1.pdf
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/ndvi_robledal.csv b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/ndvi_robledal.csv
index d557721..a530fc2 100644
--- a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/ndvi_robledal.csv
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/ndvi_robledal.csv
@@ -23580,4 +23580,4 @@
197847;2009;0.51;-3.13026053962652;37.0276617611953
197847;2010;0.54;-3.13026053962652;37.0276617611953
197847;2011;0.51;-3.13026053962652;37.0276617611953
-197847;2012;0.53;-3.13026053962652;37.0276617611953
+197847;2012;0.53;-3.13026053962652;37.0276617611953
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/producto_1.R b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/producto_1.R
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..7974aa3
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_1/producto_1.R
@@ -0,0 +1,127 @@
+#Cargo las librerias Kendall, sp, rgdal, classInt y RColorBrewer
+library('Kendall')
+library(sp)
+library(rgdal)
+library(classInt)
+library(RColorBrewer)
+
+
+v <- c()#Creo un vector (v) que almacena los valores del ndvi de un pixel para todos los años
+m <- c()#Almacena los valores del Analisis MannKendall de robledal
+m2 <-c()#Almacena los valores del Analisis MannKendall de nieve
+tau <-c()
+pvalue <- c()
+lat <- c()
+lng <- c()
+
+#######ROBLEDAL########
+#Leo la table de ndvi_robledal
+ndvi <- read.table("ndvi_robledal.csv",header = TRUE,sep=';')
+
+#Creo un bucle
+for(k in 1:1814){
+
+ #Almaceno la latitud y longitud de cada pixel
+ lat[k] <-ndvi$lat[(k-1)*13+1]
+ lng[k] <-ndvi$lng[(k-1)*13+1]
+
+
+ for(i in 1:13){
+
+ #Almaceno el valor del ndvi de cada año para cada pixel
+ v[i]=ndvi$ndvi_i[(k-1)*13+i]
+ }
+ #Realizo el analisis MannKendall
+ m <- MannKendall(v)
+ #Extraigo tau y pvalor
+ tau[k] <-m$tau[1]
+ pvalue[k] <- m$sl[1]
+}
+
+#Uso script pintar#
+
+#Pintar mapas
+tendencias=data.frame(tau,pvalue,lat,lng)
+## definimos las coordenadas de los puntos
+coordinates(tendencias) =~lng+lat
+## definimos el sistema de coordenadas WGS84
+proj4string(tendencias)=CRS("+init=epsg:4326")
+
+## partimos los valores de tau en 5 clases
+clases <- classIntervals(tendencias$tau, n = 5)
+## obtenemos cinco colores para una paleta de colores que se llama "Spectral"
+plotclr <- rev(brewer.pal(5, "Spectral"))
+## Asociamos los valores de tau a su valor correspondiente
+colcode <- findColours(clases, plotclr)
+
+## plot sin tener en cuenta
+plot(tendencias, col=colcode, pch=19, cex = .6, main = "Mapa de tendencias del ndvi")
+## mostramos la leyenda
+legend("topright", legend=names(attr(colcode, "table")), fill=attr(colcode, "palette"), bty="n")
+
+###### pintar el mapa
+
+tendencias$significativa <- ifelse(tendencias$pvalue < 0.05, 1, 2)
+## plot sin tener en cuenta
+plot(tendencias, col=colcode, pch=c(17, 19)[as.numeric(tendencias$significativa)], cex = .6, main = "Mapa de tendencias significativas del ndvi")
+## mostramos la leyenda
+legend("topright", legend=names(attr(colcode, "table")), fill=attr(colcode, "palette"), bty="n")
+
+
+
+
+
+
+#########NIEVE#######
+#Leo la tabla nieve_robledal
+nieve <- read.table("nieve_robledal.csv",header =TRUE, sep=';')
+
+#Creo un bucle
+for(k in 1:593){
+ #Almaceno la latitud y longitud de cada pixel
+ lat[k] <-nieve$lat[(k-1)*12+1]
+ lng[k] <-nieve$lng[(k-1)*12+1]
+
+ for(i in 1:12){
+ #Alamaceno el valor del scd de cada año para cada pixel
+ v[i]=nieve$scd[(k-1)*12+i]
+ }
+ #Realizo el Analisis MannKendall
+ m2<- MannKendall(v)
+ #Extraigo los valores de tau y pvalor
+ tau[k] <-m2$tau[1]
+ pvalue[k] <- m2$sl[1]
+
+}
+
+#Uso el script pintar#
+
+tendencias=data.frame(tau,pvalue,lat,lng)
+## definimos las coordenadas de los puntos
+coordinates(tendencias) =~lng+lat
+## definimos el sistema de coordenadas WGS84
+proj4string(tendencias)=CRS("+init=epsg:4326")
+
+## partimos los valores de tau en 5 clases
+clases <- classIntervals(tendencias$tau, n = 5)
+## obtenemos cinco colores para una paleta de colores que se llama "Spectral"
+plotclr <- rev(brewer.pal(5, "Spectral"))
+## Asociamos los valores de tau a su valor correspondiente
+colcode <- findColours(clases, plotclr)
+
+## plot sin tener en cuenta
+plot(tendencias, col=colcode, pch=19, cex = .6, main = "Mapa de tendencias de la nieve")
+## mostramos la leyenda
+legend("topright", legend=names(attr(colcode, "table")), fill=attr(colcode, "palette"), bty="n")
+
+###### pintar el mapa
+
+tendencias$significativa <- ifelse(tendencias$pvalue < 0.05, 1, 2)
+## plot sin tener en cuenta
+plot(tendencias, col=colcode, pch=c(17, 19)[as.numeric(tendencias$significativa)], cex = .6, main = "Mapa de tendencias significativas de la nieve")
+## mostramos la leyenda
+legend("topright", legend=names(attr(colcode, "table")), fill=attr(colcode, "palette"), bty="n")
+
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_2/Clasificacion del robledal en 3 subtipos.png b/sesion_6/retos/producto_2/Clasificacion del robledal en 3 subtipos.png
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_2/Clasificacion del robledal en 5 subtipos.png b/sesion_6/retos/producto_2/Clasificacion del robledal en 5 subtipos.png
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+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_2/producto_2.R
@@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
+#Cargo las librerias sp, rgdal, classInt y RColorBrewer
+library(sp)
+library(rgdal)
+library(classInt)
+library(RColorBrewer)
+
+n <- 3:5 #Numero de clases que voy a usar en los diferentes clusters
+
+#Leo la tabla robles_ecoinfo
+info <- read.table("robles_ecoinfo.csv",header = TRUE,sep=',')
+
+info2 <- info[,-1]#Quito la primera columna
+info2 <-info2[,-1]#Quito la segunda columna
+
+#Creo un bucle
+for(n_cluster in n){
+
+#Realizo el cluster
+mi_cluster <- kmeans (info2, n_cluster, iter.max = 200, nstart = 3)
+#Extraigo el campo cluster del cluster
+cluster <- mi_cluster$cluster
+#Cojo las coordenadas x e y de "robles_ecoinfo"
+x <- info$x
+y <- info$y
+#Hago una tabla con los valores del cluster, x e y
+robles<-data.frame(cluster,x,y)
+
+### Uso el script pintar_mapa ###
+
+#Cargamos libreria raster y obtenemos los ficheros de imágenes para una hora determinada
+### Para el siguiente fragmento de script, suponemos que:
+### - Tienes una variable que se llama robles
+### - La variable robles es un data.frame
+### - que el data.frame tiene una columna que se llama pvalue
+### - que tiene dos columnas, x e y
+### - que tiene una columna que se llama "cluster" que indica a qué cluster pertenece.
+
+
+## OJO: esta variable debería de estar en vuestro script
+## variable con el número de cluster con el que estamos probando
+## definimos las coordenadas de los puntos
+coordinates(robles) =~x+y
+## definimos el sistema de coordenadas WGS84
+proj4string(robles)=CRS("+init=epsg:23030")
+
+## obtenemos n_cluster colores para una paleta de colores que se llama "Spectral", para cada cluster creado
+plotclr <- rev(brewer.pal(n_cluster, "Spectral"))
+
+## plot, asignando el color en función del cluster al que pertenece
+plot(robles, col=plotclr[robles$cluster], pch=19, cex = .6, main = paste("Poblaciones de robledal con Clusters=",n_cluster))
+}
+
+
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+species,x,y
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4592728,37.090360
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4425072,37.103936
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4366969,37.099468
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4368059,37.094943
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4311936,37.099425
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.5126549,37.085607
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2901411,36.987112
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2901131,36.982704
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2955989,36.960091
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2956725,36.964589
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2956849,36.991038
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3966371,36.950827
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3966605,36.955335
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4023723,36.975643
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4023708,36.971100
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4079099,36.973280
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4137523,36.973314
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4136521,36.975559
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4164485,36.973287
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4192188,36.964235
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4814641,37.058641
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4758634,37.058735
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4646709,37.067758
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4816563,37.067699
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.4813782,37.036142
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3808810,37.135790
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3750942,37.131292
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3809367,37.131183
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3638698,37.131327
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3466400,37.117965
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3415149,37.122217
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3469166,37.126780
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.3468960,37.122273
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2566979,37.190109
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2530087,37.202160
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2570577,37.176605
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2514513,37.181088
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2514776,37.185613
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2564000,37.185305
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2458027,37.190132
+Quercus pyrenaica,-3.2514363,37.190139
\ No newline at end of file
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+
Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:08:27 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2020\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2020. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2020\Quercus_pyrenaica_2020_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2020. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2020 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2020
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2020
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2020
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2020 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2020 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2020.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2020.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..1963032
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2020.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.891688
+ -1.477742
+ 38.833203
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208213931642
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2020/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_202020150208214241373
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2020/Quercus_pyrenaica_2020.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2020
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
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+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..a9a3f3d
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Thu Jan 29 18:02:33 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.798 | 0.140 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.033 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\futuro_A2\2030. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\Quercus_pyrenaica_2030_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\futuro_A2\2030. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2030 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\futuro_A2\2030
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (9 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: linear quadratic hinge
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia
+projectionlayers: H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\futuro_A2\2030
+samplesfile: H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves "outputdirectory=H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia" "projectionlayers=H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\futuro_A2\2030" "samplesfile=H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv" "environmentallayers=H:\Documents and Settings\alumno\Escritorio\andalucia\variables\presente" -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..f5b4ac8
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2030.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.891688
+ -1.477742
+ 38.833203
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208214403946
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2030/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_203020150208214409129
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2030/Quercus_pyrenaica_2030.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2030
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
+
+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
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+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..3909409
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 22:55:26 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2040\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2040. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2040\Quercus_pyrenaica_2040_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2040. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2040 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2040
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2040
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2040
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2040 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2040 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..a67f6c7
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2040.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.891688
+ -1.477742
+ 38.833203
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208214524079
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2040/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_204020150208214529414
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2040/Quercus_pyrenaica_2040.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2040
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
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+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
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+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..8aa66fb
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:21:02 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2050\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2050. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2050\Quercus_pyrenaica_2050_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2050. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2050 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2050
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (22 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2050
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2050
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_A2_2050 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_A2\2050 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..d606480
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_A2_2050.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.891688
+ -1.477742
+ 38.833203
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208214630413
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2050/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_205020150208214635210
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_A2_2050/Quercus_pyrenaica_2050.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2050
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
+
+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
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+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..23ced58
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:14:49 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2020\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2020. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2020\Quercus_pyrenaica_2020_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2020. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2020 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2020
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2020
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2020
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2020 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2020 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..85932dc
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2020.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.891688
+ -1.477742
+ 38.833203
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208214756308
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2020/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_202020150208214801275
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2020/Quercus_pyrenaica_2020.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2020
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
+
+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..f5dab54
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:17:02 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2030\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2030. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2030\Quercus_pyrenaica_2030_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2030. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2030 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2030
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2030
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2030
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2030 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2030 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..b166053
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2030.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -8.546600
+ 35.390006
+ -0.603636
+ 39.334885
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208214903382
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2030/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_203020150208214908411
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2030/Quercus_pyrenaica_2030.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2030
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
+
+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..b44a4f7
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:25:47 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2040\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2040. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2040\Quercus_pyrenaica_2040_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2040. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2040 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2040
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2040
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2040
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2040 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2040 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..89e2207
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2040.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.824131
+ -1.477742
+ 38.900760
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208215047150
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2040/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_204020150208215052363
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2040/Quercus_pyrenaica_2040.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2040
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
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+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
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+ -9999.000000
+
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+ EPSG:4326
+
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..6587a7b
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:27:57 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2050\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2050. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2050\Quercus_pyrenaica_2050_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2050. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2050 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2050
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2050
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2050
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2050 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2050 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..05c5fb1
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2050.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
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+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208215202522
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2050/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
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+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_205020150208215208311
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2050/Quercus_pyrenaica_2050.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2050
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..6d62de9
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:29:54 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2060\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2060. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2060\Quercus_pyrenaica_2060_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2060. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2060 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2060
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2060
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2060
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2060 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2060 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..c497111
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2060.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.824131
+ -1.477742
+ 38.900760
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208215352721
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2060/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_206020150208215400791
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2060/Quercus_pyrenaica_2060.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2060
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
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+
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+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..97818a0
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:32:30 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2070\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2070. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2070\Quercus_pyrenaica_2070_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2070. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2070 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2070
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2070
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2070
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2070 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2070 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..7ca846e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2070.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.824131
+ -1.477742
+ 38.900760
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208215501844
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2070/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_207020150208215507593
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2070/Quercus_pyrenaica_2070.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2070
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
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+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
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+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
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+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..b22b7ba
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:34:48 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2080\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2080. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2080\Quercus_pyrenaica_2080_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2080. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2080 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2080
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2080
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2080
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2080 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2080 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.qgs
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..c87c630
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2080.qgs
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+
+
+
+
+ degrees
+
+ -7.672494
+ 35.824131
+ -1.477742
+ 38.900760
+
+ 0
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica20150208215608682
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2080/Quercus_pyrenaica.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_208020150208215614275
+ D:/ECOINFORMATICA/andalucia1/RESULTADOS_B2_2080/Quercus_pyrenaica_2080.asc
+ Quercus_pyrenaica_2080
+
+
+ +proj=longlat +datum=WGS84 +no_defs
+ 3452
+ 4326
+ EPSG:4326
+ WGS 84
+ longlat
+ WGS84
+ true
+
+
+ 255
+
+ gdal
+
+ SingleBandPseudoColor
+ PseudoColorShader
+
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Not Set
+ Banda 1
+ 0
+
+
+
+
+ NoEnhancement
+
+
+ -3.40282e+38
+ 3.40282e+38
+
+
+ -9999.000000
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ EPSG:4326
+
+
+ false
+
+
+ 0
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+ 255
+
+
+ 2
+ true
+
+
+
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2090.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2090.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..39948df
--- /dev/null
+++ b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2090.html
@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:36:52 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2090\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2090. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2090\Quercus_pyrenaica_2090_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2090. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2090 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2090
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2090
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2090
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2090 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2090 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2090.qgs b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2090.qgs
new file mode 100644
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+ Quercus_pyrenaica
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diff --git a/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2100.html b/sesion_6/retos/producto_3/resultados/Resultado_B2_2100.html
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..f589999
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@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica
+
This page contains some analysis of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica, created Sun Feb 01 23:38:57 CET 2015 using Maxent version 3.3.3k. If you would like to do further analyses, the raw data used here is linked to at the end of this page.
+
Analysis of omission/commission
+The following picture shows the omission rate and predicted area as a function of the cumulative threshold. The omission rate is is calculated both on the training presence records, and (if test data are used) on the test records. The omission rate should be close to the predicted omission, because of the definition of the cumulative threshold.
+

+
The next picture is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the same data. Note that the specificity is defined using predicted area, rather than true commission (see the paper by Phillips, Anderson and Schapire cited on the help page for discussion of what this means). This implies that the maximum achievable AUC is less than 1. If test data is drawn from the Maxent distribution itself, then the maximum possible test AUC would be 0.991 rather than 1; in practice the test AUC may exceed this bound.
+

+
+
+Some common thresholds and corresponding omission rates are as follows. If test data are available, binomial probabilities are calculated exactly if the number of test samples is at most 25, otherwise using a normal approximation to the binomial. These are 1-sided p-values for the null hypothesis that test points are predicted no better than by a random prediction with the same fractional predicted area. The "Balance" threshold minimizes 6 * training omission rate + .04 * cumulative threshold + 1.6 * fractional predicted area.
+
| Cumulative threshold | Logistic threshold | Description | Fractional predicted area | Training omission rate |
|---|
| 1.000 | 0.005 | Fixed cumulative value 1 | 0.060 | 0.000 |
| 5.000 | 0.045 | Fixed cumulative value 5 | 0.026 | 0.000 |
| 10.000 | 0.117 | Fixed cumulative value 10 | 0.016 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Minimum training presence | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 30.163 | 0.342 | 10 percentile training presence | 0.006 | 0.100 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equal training sensitivity and specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Maximum training sensitivity plus specificity | 0.015 | 0.000 |
| 1.105 | 0.006 | Balance training omission, predicted area and threshold value | 0.058 | 0.000 |
| 11.688 | 0.137 | Equate entropy of thresholded and original distributions | 0.015 | 0.000 |
+
Pictures of the model
+This is a representation of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2100\Quercus_pyrenaica_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+This is the projection of the Maxent model for Quercus_pyrenaica onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2100. Warmer colors show areas with better predicted conditions. White dots show the presence locations used for training, while violet dots show test locations. Click on the image for a full-size version.
+

+
Click here to interactively explore this prediction using the Explain tool. If clicking from your browser does not succeed in starting the tool, try running the script in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2100\Quercus_pyrenaica_2100_explain.bat directly. This tool requires the environmental grids to be small enough that they all fit in memory.
+The following picture shows where the prediction is most affected by variables being outside their training range, while projecting the Maxent model onto the environmental variables in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2100. The values shown in the picture give the absolute difference in predictions when using vs not using clamping. (Clamping means that environmental variables and features are restricted to the range of values encountered during training.) Warmer colors show areas where the treatment of variable values outside their training ranges is likely to have a large effect on predicted suitability.
+

+
The following two pictures compare the environmental similarity of variables in 2100 to the environmental data used for training the model. In the first picture (MESS), areas in red have one or more environmental variables outside the range present in the training data, so predictions in those areas should be treated with strong caution. The second picture (MoD) shows the most dissimilar variable, i.e., the one that is furthest outside its training range. For details, see Elith et al., Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2010
+

+

+
Response curves
+
These curves show how each environmental variable affects the Maxent prediction.
+The
+curves show how the logistic prediction changes as each environmental variable is varied, keeping all other environmental variables at their average sample value. Click on a response curve to see a larger version. Note that the curves can be hard to interpret if you have strongly correlated variables, as the model may depend on the correlations in ways that are not evident in the curves. In other words, the curves show the marginal effect of changing exactly one variable, whereas the model may take advantage of sets of variables changing together.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
In contrast to the above marginal response curves, each of the following curves represents a different model, namely, a Maxent model created using only the corresponding variable. These plots reflect the dependence of predicted suitability both on the selected variable and on dependencies induced by correlations between the selected variable and other variables. They may be easier to interpret if there are strong correlations between variables.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Analysis of variable contributions
+The following table gives estimates of relative contributions of the environmental variables to the Maxent model. To determine the first estimate, in each iteration of the training algorithm, the increase in regularized gain is added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda is negative. For the second estimate, for each environmental variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data are randomly permuted. The model is reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown in the table, normalized to percentages. As with the variable jackknife, variable contributions should be interpreted with caution when the predictor variables are correlated.
+
| Variable | Percent contribution | Permutation importance |
|---|
| TMXV | 46.5 | 28.5 |
| topo_posic | 25.3 | 1.6 |
| TMXI | 15.3 | 0.1 |
| TMNV | 5.3 | 55.8 |
| PV | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| TMNI | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| sol_rad_sum | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| PA | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| topo_pend | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| huella_humana | 0.2 | 0 |
+
Raw data outputs and control parameters
+The data used in the above analysis is contained in the next links. Please see the Help button for more information on these.
+The model applied to the training environmental layers
+The model applied to the environmental layers in D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2100
+The coefficients of the model
+The omission and predicted area for varying cumulative and raw thresholds
+The prediction strength at the training and (optionally) test presence sites
+Results for all species modeled in the same Maxent run, with summary statistics and (optionally) jackknife results
+
+Regularized training gain is 4.204, training AUC is 0.997, unregularized training gain is 4.589.
+Algorithm terminated after 500 iterations (21 seconds).
+
+The follow settings were used during the run:
+30 presence records used for training.
+10027 points used to determine the Maxent distribution (background points and presence points).
+Environmental layers used (all continuous): PA PV TMNI TMNV TMXI TMXV huella_humana sol_rad_sum topo_pend topo_posic
+Regularization values: linear/quadratic/product: 0.250, categorical: 0.250, threshold: 1.700, hinge: 0.500
+Feature types used: hinge linear quadratic
+responsecurves: true
+outputdirectory: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2100
+projectionlayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2100
+samplesfile: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv
+environmentallayers: D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente
+Command line used:
+
+Command line to repeat this species model: java density.MaxEnt nowarnings noprefixes -E "" -E Quercus_pyrenaica responsecurves outputdirectory=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\RESULTADOS_B2_2100 projectionlayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\futuro_B2\2100 samplesfile=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\presencia\presencia_q_pyrenaica.csv environmentallayers=D:\ECOINFORMATICA\andalucia1\variables\presente -N ._PA -N ._PV -N ._TMNI -N ._TMNV -N ._TMXI -N ._TMXV -N ._huella_humana -N ._sol_rad_sum -N ._topo_pend -N ._topo_posic
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